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Good evening. This is your forecast. FM brief for Tuesday, november tenth, as of five sixteen in the evening Eastern. All predictions come from polymarket. First, the Federal Reserve. Economists surveyed this week expect a quarter point rate hike in December. Polymarket traders predict an eighty six percent chance. The Federal Reserve raises interest rates by a quarter point after its December meeting, up six points in a day. Next, Anthropic. Anthropic has set a price range of seventy to seventy eight dollars a share for its IPO, targeting a valuation near one point four trillion dollars. Polymarket traders predict a forty three percent chance Anthropic's market cap closes between one point two five and one point five trillion dollars on IPO day, up about fourteen points. Bitcoin is near seventy three thousand dollars, down about five percent over the past week. Polymarket traders predict a sixty eight percent chance Bitcoin dips to seventy thousand dollars by december thirty first, up ten points in a day. Marine Le Pen, leader of the national rally, is set to stand in France's April 2027 presidential election after a Paris Appeals court upheld her conviction but shortened her ban. Polymarket traders predict a 45% chance Marine Le Pen wins the French presidential election in April 2027. Senator John Ossoff of Georgia repeatedly says he has zero interest in running for president in 2028, even as his name keeps coming up among Democrats. Polymarket traders predict a 27% chance John Ossoff wins the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, down about one point. That is your brief with predictions from Polymarket. For more, go to forecast.fm.